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Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 11/14
decks
7
(10.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
9-12-1
overall winrate
43.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1429
· median 1419
· range 1246–1656
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1211
Q3 1394
1656
57% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Cats | 3.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
