← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 11/14
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 11/14
decks
3
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-5-2
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1285
· median 1246
· range 1192–1416
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1211
Q3 1394
1656
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Exia | 7.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Cats | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
