Fire AggroTier 2
at Luxera's Map Invitational
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.7%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1540
· median 1540
· range 1540–1540
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1352
Q1 1423
Q3 1550
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Water Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
