← AMB Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at AMB Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 87.5% | 72.2% | 61.2% | 60.7% | 1470 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.1% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1297 | — |
| 3 | Water Polkhawk | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 60.7% | 51.7% | 54.3% | 1285 | — |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 18.2% | 7 | 42.9% | 48.2% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1324 | — |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 40.3% | 46.0% | 44.8% | 1381 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 52.1% | 45.0% | 49.3% | 994 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 18.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 33.2% | 44.7% | 40.5% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.9% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1188 | ↓ low |