← Mortal Ambition Store Championship
SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition Store Championship
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.5%
avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
42.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1184
· median 1184
· range 1146–1223
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1146
Q3 1236
1396
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 22.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | -13.8 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
