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Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at Mortal Ambition Store Championship

decks
2 (22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1251 · median 1251 · range 1106–1396 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1100 Q1 1146 Q3 1236 1396
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 22.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -1.7
Fire Aggro 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.2% +8.4
Fire Crux Mage 11.1% 0
Fire Tera Silvie 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.2% +6.7
Water Penguin Mill 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.5% -18.5
Wind Razorgale 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.4
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Enhance Potency -1.00 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm -1.00 0 1 0
Cultivate -1.00 0 1 0
Alkahest -1.00 0 1 0
Distilled Atrophy -1.00 0 1 0
Astral Seal +1.00 1 0 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Spellshield: Astra -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Potion Infusion: Growth -1.00 0 1 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Wisdom's Reprise +1.00 1 0 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Lunar Conduit +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Prima Materia +1.00 1 0 0
Ingredient Pouch +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Nascent Barrier -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Indolent Leisure +1.00 1 0 0
Cometfall -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/15533/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric