← Cardboardia ALC Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Cardboardia ALC Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 25.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 51.4% | 55.6% | 50.4% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 60.5% | 55.0% | 56.8% | 1495 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 48.5% | 45.0% | 49.1% | 1199 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.2% | 33.3% | 37.2% | 1394 | ↑ top |