Fire ExiaTier 2
at GA 元氣滿屋店冠賽
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1231
· median 1231
· range 1231–1231
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1209
Q3 1388
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Silvie | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
