← GG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 23.1% | 9 | 77.8% | 70.9% | 59.8% | 60.4% | 1339 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 2 | 15.4% | 9 | 61.1% | 50.4% | 50.9% | 46.8% | 1251 | — |
| 3 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 15.4% | 8 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 47.5% | 44.8% | 1281 | — |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 15.4% | 8 | 43.8% | 52.7% | 46.3% | 50.3% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.9% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 1094 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.5% | 41.7% | 43.6% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1231 | — |