← Curio Cavern AMB Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Curio Cavern AMB Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Penguin Mill | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 68.8% | 62.3% | 55.7% | 55.5% | 1400 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 60.2% | 54.0% | 53.7% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 61.9% | 54.0% | 54.4% | 1451 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 57.1% | 52.7% | 51.0% | 1292 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 48.3% | 48.6% | 1262 | — |
| 6 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 35.5% | 44.0% | 43.3% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 33.4% | 42.5% | 43.4% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.2% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1124 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 35.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1237 | ↓ low |