← Curio Grand Archive AMB Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Curio Grand Archive AMB Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 75.0% | 65.1% | 57.5% | 56.0% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.1% | 55.0% | 51.9% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 53.0% | 53.3% | 50.5% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 58.3% | 49.6% | 53.3% | 51.6% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 10.0% | 7 | 64.3% | 56.1% | 52.6% | 50.0% | 1312 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.1% | 51.1% | 48.4% | 1292 | — |
| 7 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 51.1% | 52.0% | 1451 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 10.0% | 11 | 50.0% | 53.8% | 50.8% | 51.6% | 1297 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.9% | 50.0% | 49.2% | 1271 | — |
| 10 | Wind Umbra Diana | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 55.0% | 46.2% | 49.2% | 46.9% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Neos | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.0% | 47.5% | 49.2% | 1059 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Slimes | 3 | 15.0% | 14 | 32.1% | 43.5% | 46.2% | 49.0% | 1129 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Allies | 2 | 10.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 37.7% | 43.8% | 44.5% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Silvie | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 16.7% | 44.7% | 43.3% | 48.8% | 1192 | ↓ low |