EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Library League 大圖書館聯賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 22.2% | 6 | 83.3% | 53.7% | 56.4% | 51.2% | 1233 | — |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 2 | 22.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 51.7% | 53.1% | 50.6% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.2% | 51.3% | 50.2% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | 49.8% | 1236 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Lorraine | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.7% | 45.0% | 49.1% | 1285 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Vanitas | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | 1220 | — |
| 7 | Fire Diana | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.0% | 35.6% | 47.3% | 1186 | ↓ low |