← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 10.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Exia | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Increasing Danger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Savage Attack | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Soulknife | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lavasoul Tiger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disintegrate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite the Soul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heighten Spellcraft | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |