← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
Water Penguin MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
decks
4
(8.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-3-1
overall winrate
70.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
55.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1338
· range 1159–1444
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1198
Q3 1408
1638
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 10.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 8.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
