← Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event
decks
3
(13.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-6-1
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1358
· median 1314
· range 1307–1452
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1219
Q3 1405
1563
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
