← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/13/2025
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/13/2025
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
40.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164
· median 1164
· range 1164–1164
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1195
Q3 1395
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
