← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/13/2025
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/13/2025
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.2% | +1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.6% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 49.9% | -0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frostbind | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diffusive Block | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Snow Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Freezing Steel | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nico, Rapture's Embrace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Strategem of Myriad Ice | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vaporjet Shield | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cerulean Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Water | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seaside Ringleader | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Storm of Thorns | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ravishing Finale | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tidestone Bovine | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Silvie, Wilds Whisperer | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Primordial Ritual | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Revitalizing Cleanse | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Temptation's Facade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rippleback Terrapin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Hailstorm Guard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vaporjet Shieldbearer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Waverider Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cell Sharpshooter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tideholder Claymore | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunete, Frostbinder Priest | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Frost | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tidal Lock | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |