← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/20/2025
Fire AggroTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/20/2025
decks
4
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
8-5-1
overall winrate
60.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
54.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1387
· median 1400
· range 1179–1569
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1178
Q3 1407
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Slimes | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Allies | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Water Allies | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Triskit | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
