Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Grand Library League 大圖書館聯賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evasive Maneuvers | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Sharpshooter | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Wraith | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excoriate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Violet Haze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Automaton Bomber | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Airship Engineer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reposition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Penetrator Round | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crimson Tear | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Supply Drone | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbral Tithe | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gloamspire Lance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire, Black Market | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Relentless Hexchaser | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| False Step | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deploy Gunshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Shot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Cursebreaker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mindbreak Bullet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |