Water AlliesTier 1
at Grand Library League 大圖書館聯賽
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.0%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
61.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1331
· median 1331
· range 1331–1331
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1158
Q3 1260
1435
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 27.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
