GGA Grand Archive ALC Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	23.1%	8-2-0	80.0%	68.7%	57.8%	56.8%	1313	↑ top
2		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	15.4%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.8%	40.0%	41.4%	1142	↓ low
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.5%	46.7%	47.4%	1153	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-1-1	62.5%	53.4%	55.0%	54.0%	1246	↑ top
5		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.1%	45.7%	47.2%	1131	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-1-1	62.5%	58.0%	48.3%	49.4%	1234	—
7		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.1%	46.7%	47.1%	1200	—
8		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-1-0	75.0%	54.5%	56.7%	53.6%	1287	↑ top
9		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-2-0	0.0%	33.8%	40.0%	40.2%	1169	↓ low
10		Wind Arisanna	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	33.8%	40.0%	42.1%	1132	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 3 decks · 23.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Arisanna 1 deck · 7.7%