← GGA Grand Archive ALC Regional
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GGA Grand Archive ALC Regional.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 3 | 23.1% | 10 | 80.0% | 68.7% | 57.8% | 56.8% | 1313 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 54.5% | 56.7% | 53.6% | 1287 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.4% | 55.0% | 54.0% | 1246 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 58.0% | 48.3% | 49.4% | 1234 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 46.7% | 47.4% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Neos | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 46.7% | 47.1% | 1200 | — |
| 7 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.1% | 45.7% | 47.2% | 1131 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.8% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1142 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 33.8% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.8% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1132 | ↓ low |