← 店家冠軍賽

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 店家冠軍賽. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Water Allies
52.3%
33.3% share · 8 matches
↑ top
1st
Fire Crux Hybrid
67.5%
16.7% share · 5 matches
↑ top
3rd
Fire Umbra Ranger
40.0%
33.3% share · 2 matches
↓ low
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Hybrid 1 16.7% 5 100.0% 64.9% 67.5% 59.3% 1482 ↑ top
2 Water Allies 2 33.3% 8 43.8% 53.2% 52.3% 54.8% 1397 ↑ top
3 Fire Umbra Ranger 2 33.3% 2 0.0% 38.3% 40.0% 42.3% 1256 ↓ low
4 Wind Allies 1 16.7% 3 16.7% 35.3% 35.7% 35.3% 1536 ↑ top