← CoreTCG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CoreTCG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 78.6% | 50.2% | 57.8% | 52.3% | 1561 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 9 | 12.0% | 65 | 58.5% | 55.8% | 54.4% | 53.7% | 1277 | — |
| 3 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 5 | 6.7% | 35 | 61.4% | 53.2% | 54.3% | 50.6% | 1284 | — |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.3% | 8 | 43.8% | 50.5% | 54.2% | 54.9% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 1.3% | 10 | 65.0% | 57.4% | 54.1% | 53.1% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 4 | 5.3% | 21 | 59.5% | 63.5% | 53.8% | 55.6% | 1256 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 60.6% | 53.8% | 52.9% | 1321 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 49.0% | 52.9% | 50.5% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 4 | 5.3% | 23 | 52.2% | 53.9% | 52.8% | 52.6% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 51.2% | 51.2% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 5.3% | 30 | 56.7% | 57.2% | 50.9% | 51.9% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.3% | 8 | 43.8% | 56.4% | 50.6% | 54.8% | 1231 | — |
| 13 | Wind Exia | 4 | 5.3% | 27 | 53.7% | 55.2% | 50.2% | 50.7% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 11 | 14.7% | 67 | 50.7% | 51.0% | 48.6% | 48.9% | 1313 | — |
| 15 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 4.0% | 21 | 50.0% | 51.6% | 48.0% | 47.8% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Slimes | 1 | 1.3% | 2 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.3% | 47.3% | 1480 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 2.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.2% | 47.3% | 48.7% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Byakko | 2 | 2.7% | 14 | 60.7% | 48.0% | 47.1% | 44.1% | 1402 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 2.7% | 14 | 60.7% | 48.0% | 47.1% | 44.1% | 1402 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Exia Jin | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.1% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1202 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 50.4% | 46.5% | 45.6% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.3% | 6 | 25.0% | 44.8% | 45.8% | 48.6% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3 | 4.0% | 19 | 26.3% | 35.2% | 45.6% | 47.3% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 4.0% | 18 | 41.7% | 42.3% | 45.6% | 45.1% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 25 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.6% | 44.7% | 44.6% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Wind Allies | 3 | 4.0% | 20 | 32.5% | 45.7% | 44.6% | 48.3% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 43.7% | 45.8% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 43.7% | 45.8% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 1.3% | 7 | 14.3% | 26.6% | 42.4% | 42.7% | 1010 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 1.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 29.3% | 41.3% | 41.2% | 1154 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 2.7% | 12 | 29.2% | 36.7% | 40.8% | 42.3% | 1243 | — |
| 32 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.6% | 40.0% | 39.9% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 41.2% | 40.0% | 41.2% | 1146 | ↓ low |