← Heretics Haven - Abyssal Heaven Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Heretics Haven - Abyssal Heaven Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Allies 1 12.5% 6 83.3% 52.0% 59.0% 51.8% 1617 ↑ top
2 Wind Lorraine 1 12.5% 4 75.0% 67.0% 53.3% 54.9% 1209
3 Wind Shadowstrike 2 25.0% 3 33.3% 44.5% 50.0% 50.1% 1217
4 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 51.1% 46.7% 50.5% 1336 ↑ top
5 Fire Aggro 2 25.0% 4 25.0% 46.9% 43.3% 47.0% 1275
6 Fire Suzaku 1 12.5% 2 0.0% 33.1% 40.0% 39.9% 1262