← Tabletop Village Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Tabletop Village Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.3%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1140
· median 1140
· range 1140–1140
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1233
Q3 1355
1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
