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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at Tabletop Village Store Championship

decks
1 (5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8% avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
47.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1436 · median 1436 · range 1436–1436 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1077 Q1 1233 Q3 1355 1471
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 15.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.3% -17.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 10.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +2.3
Fire Slimes 10.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 10.5% 0
Wind Lorraine 10.5% 0
Fire Exia 5.3% 0
Fire Tera Cleric 5.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 5.3% 0
Water Fractal 5.3% 0
Water Genbu 5.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.0% +7.9
Wind Allies 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Wind Razorgale 5.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.8
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22071/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn