← CM Hamilton HVN Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CM Hamilton HVN Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 65.4% | 55.0% | 56.1% | 1074 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 65.4% | 55.0% | 56.1% | 1074 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 58.0% | 53.3% | 53.7% | 1275 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 54.6% | 53.3% | 52.2% | 1339 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 44.1% | 50.0% | 47.7% | 1546 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.2% | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1321 | — |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 45.0% | 45.8% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 40.0% | 43.9% | 1043 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Tera Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 40.0% | 43.9% | 1043 | ↓ low |