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Fire SuzakuTier 2

at HVN Gathering Hub Store Championship

decks
1 (5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5% avg ELO -6.4 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1070 · median 1070 · range 1070–1070 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1014 Q1 1104 Q3 1279 1367
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 29.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -18.0
Wind Allies 11.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 11.8% 0
Wind Seiryuu 11.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.1% -12.7
Fire Aggro 5.9% 0
Fire Exia 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.9% 0
Fire Neos 5.9% 0
Water Genbu 5.9% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.9% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22156/archetypes/Fire Suzaku