← Deck Out Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Deck Out Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 91.7% | 63.1% | 60.6% | 55.7% | 1315 | — |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 65.2% | 56.7% | 57.7% | 1336 | — |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 52.1% | 53.7% | 52.0% | 1438 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 52.6% | 52.6% | 50.6% | 1274 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 58.2% | 51.4% | 52.4% | 1217 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 2 | 14.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 51.7% | 49.4% | 50.6% | 1348 | — |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 45.8% | 46.7% | 47.4% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 42.9% | 52.1% | 46.0% | 49.0% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.8% | 41.7% | 43.2% | 1375 | — |
| 10 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 10.0% | 28.7% | 40.5% | 41.2% | 1298 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 27.8% | 40.0% | 39.7% | 1318 | — |