← ABYSSAL HEAVEN STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at ABYSSAL HEAVEN STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1382
· median 1382
· range 1316–1448
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1151
Q1 1351
Q3 1490
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.1 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 |
| Wind Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
