← HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar
decks
3
(15.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
9-6-5
overall winrate
57.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1234
· median 1224
· range 1032–1448
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1196
Q3 1424
1610
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 38.3% | -8.8 |
| Wind Triskit | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
