← HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.1%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1416
· range 1404–1428
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1196
Q3 1424
1610
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.0% | -5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
