Arcanum Sanctorum HVN store championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	16.7%	6-1-1	81.2%	61.0%	57.8%	54.1%	1425	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	55.2%	52.0%	49.8%	1373	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	58.2%	48.0%	52.0%	1250	↓ low
4		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-1-2	50.0%	51.1%	50.0%	50.9%	1195	↓ low
5		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	42.3%	50.0%	46.9%	1517	↑ top
6		Water Jin	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-1-2	50.0%	52.5%	50.0%	51.0%	1197	↓ low
7		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-4-0	0.0%	31.9%	40.0%	42.8%	1132	↓ low
8		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	62.9%	55.0%	55.7%	1597	↑ top
9		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.0%	45.0%	47.6%	1176	↓ low
10		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	45.5%	44.2%	46.0%	1235	↓ low
11		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.7%	44.0%	45.4%	1212	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Jin 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 8.3%