← Arcanum Sanctorum HVN store championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Arcanum Sanctorum HVN store championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 16.7% | 8 | 81.2% | 61.0% | 57.8% | 54.1% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.9% | 55.0% | 55.7% | 1597 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.2% | 52.0% | 49.8% | 1373 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 42.3% | 50.0% | 46.9% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Jin | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.2% | 48.0% | 52.0% | 1250 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Neos Tonoris | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 47.6% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 45.5% | 44.2% | 46.0% | 1235 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.7% | 44.0% | 45.4% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.9% | 40.0% | 42.8% | 1132 | ↓ low |