← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship at Gamers Guild Tempe

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship at Gamers Guild Tempe. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Astra Cleric 1 5.6% 5 90.0% 64.9% 58.3% 56.0% 1562 ↑ top
2 Water Fractal 2 11.1% 8 62.5% 57.6% 54.4% 53.6% 1287
3 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 42.1% 53.3% 48.2% 1517 ↑ top
4 Water Genbu 1 5.6% 5 70.0% 67.7% 52.9% 55.3% 1313
5 Wind Lorraine 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 53.9% 52.0% 51.8% 1235
6 Wind Neos 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 46.7% 52.0% 48.2% 1597 ↑ top
7 Fire Slimes 2 11.1% 9 50.0% 41.4% 50.4% 47.4% 1364 ↑ top
8 Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 53.7% 48.6% 51.6% 1114 ↓ low
9 Wind Allies 1 5.6% 5 40.0% 49.2% 48.6% 49.9% 1250
10 Wind Shadowstrike 1 5.6% 5 60.0% 52.0% 48.6% 47.9% 1333
11 Wind Seiryuu 1 5.6% 4 37.5% 50.1% 48.0% 51.2% 1270
12 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 5.6% 4 25.0% 42.2% 45.0% 46.9% 1368 ↑ top
13 Fire Aggro 2 11.1% 7 35.7% 48.6% 44.6% 47.9% 1173 ↓ low
14 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 5.6% 4 12.5% 37.1% 44.0% 45.7% 1046 ↓ low
15 Water Ravishing Mill 1 5.6% 2 0.0% 38.3% 40.0% 43.0% 1094 ↓ low