← 4/6 StoreChampionship TGCShuffle
Fire ExiaTier 2
at 4/6 StoreChampionship TGCShuffle
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
44.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1197
· median 1197
· range 1091–1303
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1241
Q3 1463
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 23.1% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 51.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
