← MSG Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MSG Abyssal Heaven Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 58.3% | 57.7% | 1343 | — |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 66.6% | 54.7% | 60.1% | 1326 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 48.9% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1548 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 62.5% | 49.8% | 52.9% | 50.7% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 55.7% | 52.9% | 51.8% | 1317 | — |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1345 | — |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 37.5% | 38.1% | 47.8% | 46.6% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 44.8% | 45.0% | 49.2% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.9% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1108 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.9% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1108 | ↓ low |