Fire SuzakuTier 2
at GGA Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4%
avg ELO -4.6 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1118
· median 1118
· range 1058–1177
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1182
Q3 1293
1446
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 52.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
