EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Champion.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 70.0% | 51.7% | 54.1% | 49.9% | 1337 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 62.5% | 58.5% | 52.5% | 53.3% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 62.1% | 52.4% | 54.1% | 1522 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 2 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.6% | 52.0% | 49.9% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 50.0% | 48.4% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.4% | 50.0% | 52.2% | 1325 | — |
| 7 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.8% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.0% | 48.0% | 48.8% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.6% | 44.0% | 44.8% | 1264 | — |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.9% | 44.0% | 46.7% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.1% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.3% | 40.0% | 43.3% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.3% | 40.0% | 45.3% | 1265 | — |