← HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 91.7% | 61.6% | 59.7% | 54.5% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 75.0% | 63.2% | 57.1% | 56.1% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 52.9% | 52.7% | 51.7% | 1236 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.8% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 1234 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1244 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.7% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 1157 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1268 | — |
| 8 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.7% | 46.7% | 47.5% | 1157 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Exia | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 43.9% | 43.3% | 47.1% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1109 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.2% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1117 | ↓ low |