← Grand Archive Store Champs at VPC - HVN
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Champs at VPC - HVN.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 100.0% | 69.6% | 60.0% | 61.7% | 1648 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.9% | 53.3% | 51.4% | 1374 | — |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 53.4% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 1616 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 57.7% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 50.0% | 53.9% | 50.0% | 53.9% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 50.0% | 46.1% | 50.0% | 46.1% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 27.7% | 40.0% | 36.6% | 1550 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Tonoris | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 35.8% | 40.0% | 35.8% | 1678 | ↑ top |