← Fortress HVN Store Championship
Water Tera KongmingTier 1
at Fortress HVN Store Championship
decks
1
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
1-0-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +12.3 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1254–1254
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1157
Q1 1196
Q3 1358
1630
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
