← Fortress HVN Store Championship

Wind ExiaTier 1

at Fortress HVN Store Championship

decks
1 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2 0-0-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9% avg ELO -5.9 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1467 · median 1467 · range 1467–1467 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1157 Q1 1196 Q3 1358 1630
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Luxem Assassin 16.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -1.4
Fire Suzaku 16.7% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 16.7% 0
Water Tera Kongming 16.7% 0
Wind Razorgale 16.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 43.5% -10.4
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22809/archetypes/Wind Exia