← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
decks
3
(17.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-9-0
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.6%
avg ELO -4.2 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1290
· median 1292
· range 1217–1359
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1195
Q3 1333
1597
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.7 |
| Water Fractal | 11.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -3.2 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.6 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
