← HASUYA ストアチャンピオンシップ

Wind AlliesTier 1

at HASUYA ストアチャンピオンシップ

decks
4 (28.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19 11-7-1
overall winrate
60.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.9% avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
54.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176 · median 1165 · range 1002–1372 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002 Q1 1122 Q3 1402 1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Byakko 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 61.5% +11.1
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 7.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.9% -13.6
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 61.5% +11.1
Fire Exia 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.6% -11.8
Fire Seiryuu 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.0% +16.0
Slimes 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.3
Water Allies 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Water Fractal 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 67.4% +16.7
Wind Razorgale 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.0
Wind Seiryuu 7.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.5% +2.4
Wind Slice & Dice 7.1% 4 0-3-1 12.5% 31.2% 33.9% -10.3
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 60 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 60 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dilu, Auspicious Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Rebounding Gust +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Esteemed Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Heavy Swing +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Weaponsmith -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit Blade: Dispersion -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Spirit Ruler -1.00 0 1 0
Attune with the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Prismatic Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Woodland Squirrels +1.00 1 0 0
Tonoris, Might of Humanity +1.00 1 0 0
Paired Minds, Kindred Souls +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Honorable Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Cutter -1.00 0 1 0
Windrider Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Veteran Soldier -1.00 0 1 0
Deflecting Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary +1.00 1 0 0
Life Essence Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +1.00 1 0 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Savage Slash -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit's Blessing -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Sudden Steel -1.00 0 1 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Crusader of Aesa -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Bulwark Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Blademaster -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Phalanx Captain -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Oath of the Sakura +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Temporal Spectrometer +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Bauble of Abundance -1.00 0 1 0
Opening Cut -1.00 0 1 0
Warrior's Longsword -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Plea for Peace -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/23031/archetypes/Wind Allies