HVN Store championship | outpost ghent

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	25.0%	3-3-1	50.0%	52.3%	50.0%	51.0%	1209	↓ low
2		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	53.5%	56.7%	54.6%	1418	↑ top
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	38.4%	45.0%	43.0%	1396	↑ top
4		Fire Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.0%	35.6%	38.4%	1170	↓ low
5		Water Overlord	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	59.1%	50.0%	53.7%	1189	↓ low
6		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	4-0-1	90.0%	62.2%	57.3%	53.2%	1520	↑ top
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.4%	50.0%	50.9%	1191	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Tera Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Overlord 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%