← Dragon's Lair Comics & Fantasy Austin Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Dragon's Lair Comics & Fantasy Austin Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1300
· median 1300
· range 1151–1449
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1153
Q3 1332
1449
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Water Arcane Rai | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
