← Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 6.7% | 7 | 85.7% | 59.1% | 60.0% | 53.7% | 1414 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 6.7% | 7 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 59.1% | 57.9% | 1325 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.5% | 56.7% | 53.9% | 1355 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 58.0% | 56.2% | 56.5% | 1270 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.5% | 52.7% | 51.8% | 1316 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 50.6% | 51.8% | 1234 | — |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 20.0% | 14 | 39.3% | 41.6% | 48.5% | 48.2% | 1235 | — |
| 9 | Water Fractal | 3 | 20.0% | 14 | 46.4% | 52.0% | 48.1% | 49.8% | 1220 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 12.5% | 34.1% | 41.2% | 42.5% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.3% | 37.1% | 40.3% | 1122 | ↓ low |