← Wild Magic Store - Grand Archive Brunei Regional Tournament - Abyssal Heaven Season
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Wild Magic Store - Grand Archive Brunei Regional Tournament - Abyssal Heaven Season
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.1% | +4.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -3.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exia Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Proof of Life | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bloodshroud Temper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Prescience | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hemorrhaging Rend | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Relentless Outburst | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Savage Sunder | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mend Flesh | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enrage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |